Effective Tax Rate Across Income Cohorts

Here is a quick analysis of effective tax rates using official IRS tax data from 2006. I segmenting the population into cohorts based on their AGI (Adjusted Gross Income), then split their earnings and tax burdenĀ into regular income and capital gains categories.

These graphs clearly show that higher AGI cohorts receive a significantly bigger portion of their income from capital gains, which are generally taxed at a flat marginal rate of 15%, compared to the top marginal rate of 33% on normal income. This reduces their effective tax rate relative to lower AGI cohorts, distorting the tax burden.